Bregenz 0-3 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Bregenz
0-3 HT 0-2
Grazer AK
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bregenz vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.3
1/X
7%
17.3
X/1
9%
11.55
X/2
20%
3.71
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
1.91
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bregenz v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 66%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.64/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.36
-46% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bregenz vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Grazer AK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
26.05.2005 Bregenz Bregenz 0-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
12.03.2005 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-0 HT 1-0 Bregenz Bregenz AVU
24.10.2004 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-0 HT 1-0 Bregenz Bregenz AVU
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK swept aside Bregenz 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Grazer AK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bregenz and 1.75 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Grazer AK?

Bregenz 0-3 Grazer AK in the Austria - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 24%, draw 21%, Grazer AK 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grazer AK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
27 Apr 2024
15:15 Floridsdorfer AC vs First Vienna Analysis →
15:30 Admira Wacker vs FC Liefering Analysis →
15:30 Sturm Graz II vs FC Dornbirn 1913 Analysis →