Sturm Graz II 2-3 FC Dornbirn 1913 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.28
1/2 EV+ ✓
11%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
18%
5.52
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
12%
5.31
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
17%
3.77
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dornbirn 1913 EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.65/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.27
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Dornbirn 1913
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 2-3 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
12.03.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-4 HT 0-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
22.10.2022 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 3-1 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
2-3
AWAY FC Dornbirn 1913
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs FC Dornbirn 1913
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dornbirn 1913 squeezed past Sturm Graz II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day FC Dornbirn 1913 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 44% of the ball to FC Dornbirn 1913's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Dornbirn 1913 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sturm Graz II and 3.00 for FC Dornbirn 1913.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs FC Dornbirn 1913?

Sturm Graz II 2-3 FC Dornbirn 1913 in the Austria - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs FC Dornbirn 1913?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Dornbirn 1913 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 35%, draw 25%, FC Dornbirn 1913 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dornbirn 1913), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dornbirn 1913) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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