Ajman 3-0 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Apr 2024

Ajman
3-0 HT 2-1
Khorfakkan
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2023/2024

Ajman vs Khorfakkan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajman v Khorfakkan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.41/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.62
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.2 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Ajman vs Khorfakkan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
333 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
10.03.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 2-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
16.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 0-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
23.04.2022 Ajman Ajman 4-2 HT 1-2 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
29.10.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
03.04.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajman Ajman BAE

Ajman 3-0 Khorfakkan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
3-0
AWAY Khorfakkan
0.95 xG 1.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
333 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman swept aside Khorfakkan 3-0. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajman as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Ajman had 51% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.99 — on chances, Khorfakkan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajman and 1.50 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Khorfakkan?

Ajman 3-0 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajman 46%, draw 24%, Khorfakkan 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajman), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
27 Apr 2024
17:05 Al Sharjah vs Al Bataeh Analysis →
19:45 Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Analysis →