CSKA Sofia 3-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.09
+16% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
07.10.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
07.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
3-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia beat Levski Sofia 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 47% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 53%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.33 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 3-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 42%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5
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