Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 28%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.00/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.36
-100% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
29.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
13.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
24.04.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia nicked a narrow win over Botev Plovdiv 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 73% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 27%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 0.80 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 44%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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