Middelfart 2-0 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

Middelfart
2-0 HT 1-0
Roskilde
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Middelfart vs Roskilde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Roskilde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 43%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.20/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.05
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Middelfart vs Roskilde Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Roskilde
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 3-1 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
07.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2

Middelfart 2-0 Roskilde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
2-0
AWAY Roskilde
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart got the better of Roskilde 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Middelfart made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Middelfart had 43% of the ball to Roskilde's 57%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roskilde led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Middelfart and 2.00 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Roskilde?

Middelfart 2-0 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 41%, draw 23%, Roskilde 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Under 2.5
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