Puebla 1-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Apr 2024

Puebla
1-2 HT 1-2
Club America
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Puebla vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
5.34
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
46%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.69
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
8%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
16%
+19.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
64%
-18.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puebla v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.16/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.04
+50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
18.8 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Puebla vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Club America
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.85 xG 2.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 410
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
22.01.2023 Club America Club America 2-2 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
16.10.2022 Club America Club America 5-1 HT 2-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
13.10.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-6 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
01.10.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
15.05.2022 Club America Club America 3-2 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK

Puebla 1-2 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1-2
AWAY Club America
0.37 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
437 Passes 362
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America nicked a narrow win over Puebla 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Puebla had 54% of the ball to Club America's 46%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.37 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Puebla and 3.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Club America?

Puebla 1-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Puebla 35%, draw 19%, Club America 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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