Milsami 3-0 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 23%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.14/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.45
-43% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-0 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
21.10.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
12.08.2023 Milsami Milsami 2-1 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.05.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
09.04.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
01.10.2022 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
3-0
AWAY CSF Balti
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milsami vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami ran out comfortable winners over CSF Balti 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Milsami had 49% of the ball to CSF Balti's 51%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Milsami and 1.17 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Milsami vs CSF Balti?

Milsami 3-0 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Milsami 43%, draw 34%, CSF Balti 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MOLD More Moldova - National League
27 Apr 2024
20:00 Zimbru vs Dacia-Buiucani Analysis →