Gornik Zabrze 4-1 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Apr 2024

Gornik Zabrze
4-1 HT 2-0
Lodzki KS
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Gornik Zabrze vs Lodzki KS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
14%
3.9
X/2
7%
11.05
X/X
8%
6.08
2/1
8%
21.05
2/2 EV+ ✗
17%
8.14
2/X
7%
16.15
Value flag · 2/2 at 8.14 — our 17% vs market 8.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Lodzki KS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -24%
1.80/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.46
-24% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.5 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gornik Zabrze vs Lodzki KS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.19 xG 0.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
343 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-5 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
23.06.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-3 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
30.05.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
29.10.2019 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
20.10.2019 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
17.03.2012 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL

Gornik Zabrze 4-1 Lodzki KS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
4-1
AWAY Lodzki KS
2.45 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
368 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze cruised past Lodzki KS 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 49% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 51%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.45 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.67 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Lodzki KS?

Gornik Zabrze 4-1 Lodzki KS in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 48%, draw 24%, Lodzki KS 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Over 2.5
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