Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ 1-1 Karaköprü Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
62%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.8pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
62%
Away Win
73%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Karaköprü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 77%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.41/3.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.25
-52% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
20.12.2023 Karaköprü Belediyespor Karaköprü Belediyespor 4-1 HT 0-0 Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ S3-2
POST-MATCH Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ vs Karaköprü Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ and Karaköprü Belediyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karaköprü Belediyespor at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?

Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ 1-1 Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karaköprü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sivas 4 Eylül FAŞ 19%, draw 19%, Karaköprü Belediyespor 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Karaköprü Belediyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karaköprü Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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