Charleston Battery 6-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Charleston Battery win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.77
+18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.0 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.84 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
210 Passes 235
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
02.04.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
6-0
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
3.68 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
395 Passes 443
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery cruised past Las Vegas Lights 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 47% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 53%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.68 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Las Vegas Lights?

Charleston Battery 6-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 52%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 21%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ BTTS No
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