Rhode Island vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rhode Island v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Rhode Island 1-3 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising saw off Rhode Island 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Phoenix Rising found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rhode Island had 54% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.73 to 1.51.
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Phoenix Rising?
Rhode Island 1-3 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 38%, draw 32%, Phoenix Rising 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.