Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

Deportivo La Guaira
0-2 HT 0-1
UCV
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.99
Draw
25%
2.77
Away
52%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
31%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
33%
-7.3pp
51%
Away Win
37%
+14.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Guaira v UCV — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.10
+5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
16.8 Crosses 14.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0W-4D-1L
AWAY UCV
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.62 xG 0.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
360 Passes 233
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
30.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
11.02.2023 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.09.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
13.03.2022 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 UCV — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0-2
AWAY UCV
0.31 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
310 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV saw off Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 53% of the ball to UCV's 47%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.31 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, UCV led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.60 for UCV.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 23%, draw 25%, UCV 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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