Sparta Prag II 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.72/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.68
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +126%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.09.2024 FC Fastav Zlin FC Fastav Zlin 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag II
1-0
AWAY FC Fastav Zlin
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag II vs FC Fastav Zlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II nicked a narrow win over FC Fastav Zlin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sparta Prag II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag II had 52% of the ball to FC Fastav Zlin's 48%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Sparta Prag II 1-0 FC Fastav Zlin in the Czech Republic - FNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs FC Fastav Zlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Fastav Zlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 34%, draw 29%, FC Fastav Zlin 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Fastav Zlin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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