Varnsdorf 1-0 Prostejov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.9
Over
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Prostejov EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.69/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.09
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Prostejov
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Prostejov Prostejov 1-1 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
21.04.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 5-1 HT 1-0 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
23.09.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
04.03.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
14.08.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Prostejov Prostejov 0-4 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
1-0
AWAY Prostejov
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Prostejov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf squeezed past Prostejov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varnsdorf as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 56% of the ball to Prostejov's 44%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Varnsdorf and 0.67 for Prostejov.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Prostejov?

Varnsdorf 1-0 Prostejov in the Czech Republic - FNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Prostejov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 45%, draw 25%, Prostejov 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varnsdorf), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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