Prostejov 1-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prostejov EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.18
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prostejov
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Varnsdorf
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 5-1 HT 1-0 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
23.09.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
04.03.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
14.08.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Prostejov Prostejov 0-4 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
21.11.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 0-1 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
POST-MATCH Prostejov vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prostejov and Varnsdorf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Prostejov and 2.50 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Prostejov vs Varnsdorf?

Prostejov 1-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prostejov vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Prostejov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Prostejov 38%, draw 26%, Varnsdorf 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Prostejov), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Prostejov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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