Lisen 0-2 Chrudim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrudim EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisen
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Chrudim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Chrudim Chrudim 0-0 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
07.04.2023 Lisen Lisen 1-1 HT 1-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
03.09.2022 Chrudim Chrudim 0-0 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
09.04.2022 Lisen Lisen 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
18.09.2021 Chrudim Chrudim 0-2 HT 0-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
17.04.2021 Chrudim Chrudim 0-3 HT 0-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
POST-MATCH Lisen vs Chrudim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim saw off Lisen 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chrudim found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lisen and 0.17 for Chrudim.

What was the final score of Lisen vs Chrudim?

Lisen 0-2 Chrudim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisen vs Chrudim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lisen 40%, draw 31%, Chrudim 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lisen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lisen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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