Varnsdorf 5-1 Prostejov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Prostejov EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.98/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.06
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Prostejov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
04.03.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
14.08.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Prostejov Prostejov 0-4 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
21.11.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-1 HT 0-1 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
22.05.2021 Prostejov Prostejov 0-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
5-1
AWAY Prostejov
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Prostejov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf ran out comfortable winners over Prostejov 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varnsdorf as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 46% of the ball to Prostejov's 54%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Varnsdorf and 0.50 for Prostejov.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Prostejov?

Varnsdorf 5-1 Prostejov in the Czech Republic - FNL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Prostejov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 46%, draw 23%, Prostejov 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varnsdorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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