Opava 2-2 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Opava EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.40/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.51
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Opava
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-1 HT 0-1 Opava Opava ÇEK2
18.03.2023 Opava Opava 0-1 HT 0-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
27.08.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-1 HT 0-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
14.05.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-1 HT 2-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
24.07.2021 Opava Opava 3-3 HT 1-2 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
15.08.2015 Opava Opava 3-2 HT 2-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Opava
2-2
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Opava vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Opava and Graffin Vlasim couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Opava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Opava had 45% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 55%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Opava and 1.67 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Opava vs Graffin Vlasim?

Opava 2-2 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Opava vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Opava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Opava 41%, draw 29%, Graffin Vlasim 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Opava), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Opava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK2 More Czech Republic - FNL
21 Apr 2024
11:15 Viktoria Zizkov vs Chrudim Analysis →
18:00 Varnsdorf vs Prostejov Analysis →
18:00 Jihlava vs Sparta Prag II Analysis →
18:00 Hanacka vs Dukla Prag Analysis →