Jihlava 3-1 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jihlava EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.63/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.32
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jihlava
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-1 HT 0-1 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
31.03.2023 Jihlava Jihlava 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
31.08.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-3 HT 1-1 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
27.04.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-1 HT 1-0 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
22.10.2021 Jihlava Jihlava 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jihlava
3-1
AWAY Sparta Prag II
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 5
18 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jihlava vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jihlava saw off Sparta Prag II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Jihlava made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jihlava had 51% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 49%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jihlava had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Jihlava and 1.00 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Jihlava vs Sparta Prag II?

Jihlava 3-1 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jihlava vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jihlava 35%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag II 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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