Zürich II 2-1 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.8pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -6%
1.69/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.42
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Luzern II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
23.10.2024 Luzern II Luzern II 4-2 HT 1-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
09.03.2024 Zürich II Zürich II 4-0 HT 2-0 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
02.09.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 2-2 HT 0-2 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
03.05.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
29.10.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 1-3 HT 1-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Zürich II vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich II edged past Luzern II 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zürich II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Luzern II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Zürich II and 2.20 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Zürich II vs Luzern II?

Zürich II 2-1 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich II vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zürich II 44%, draw 22%, Luzern II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zürich II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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