Como (K) 0-4 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.48/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.12
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
251 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
20.6 Crosses 22.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lazio (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
238 Passes 354
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
02.02.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
02.11.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
0-4
AWAY Lazio (K)
0.59 xG 1.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
224 Passes 314
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) cruised past Como (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Como (K) had 46% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 54%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.59 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Como (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Como (K) and 1.00 for Lazio (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Como (K) 0-4 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 31%, draw 20%, Lazio (K) 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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