Napoli (K) 2-1 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.15/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.24
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
12.9 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.67 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 215
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
26.01.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
19.10.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
05.05.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
2-1
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.54 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 202
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) edged past Sampdoria (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napoli (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 58% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 42%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Napoli (K) and 0.50 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Napoli (K) 2-1 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 51%, draw 28%, Sampdoria (K) 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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