KA Akureyri 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -22%
1.47/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.66
-24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
23.7 Crosses 21.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 266
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
13.04.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-2 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
30.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-3 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
03.05.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-2 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
07.08.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-3 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
11.05.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
3-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.88 xG 1.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
329 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri nicked a narrow win over FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; KA Akureyri found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 53% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.81 — on chances, FH Hafnarfjordur could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

KA Akureyri 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 34%, draw 33%, FH Hafnarfjordur 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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