Vestri 0-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
0.88/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.57
-26% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
15.7 Crosses 25.9
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Breidablik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.00 xG 1.64
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
184 Passes 435
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
13.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
03.03.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
0-1
AWAY Breidablik
0.50 xG 3.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 11
302 Passes 525
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 38
4 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik nicked a narrow win over Vestri 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vestri had 38% of the ball to Breidablik's 62%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.50 to 3.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Breidablik's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vestri and 2.33 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Breidablik?

Vestri 0-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vestri 26%, draw 26%, Breidablik 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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