Blacktown City Demons 3-2 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.21/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.89
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.9 Crosses 16.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blacktown City Demons
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.57 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
372 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.07.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
31.03.2024 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-2 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
23.07.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 3-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
08.04.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 1-0 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
19.06.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 0-1 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
03.04.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 1-2 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blacktown City Demons squeezed past Sydney United 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Blacktown City Demons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Blacktown City Demons and 1.00 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney United?

Blacktown City Demons 3-2 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Blacktown City Demons 46%, draw 26%, Sydney United 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blacktown City Demons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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