Wollongong Wolves 2-1 Mt Druitt Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.2pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.0pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mt Druitt Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.85/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.40
-3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mt Druitt Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.10 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 0-5 HT 0-2 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
12.05.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 0-0 HT 0-0 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
08.07.2022 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 4-3 HT 3-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
22.04.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 3-0 HT 1-0 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
06.11.2021 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVUK
29.05.2021 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs Mt Druitt Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wollongong Wolves edged past Mt Druitt Town 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wollongong Wolves as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wollongong Wolves had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 1.17 for Mt Druitt Town.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs Mt Druitt Town?

Wollongong Wolves 2-1 Mt Druitt Town in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs Mt Druitt Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 51%, draw 17%, Mt Druitt Town 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wollongong Wolves), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
27 Apr 2025
00:00 Maitland vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →
07:30 Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart Analysis →
08:00 Yoogali vs Tuggeranong United Analysis →
08:00 Blacktown City Demons vs Sydney United Analysis →
08:00 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Marconi Stallions Analysis →
10:00 Central Coast II vs Rockdale Ilinden Analysis →