RWDM 47 3-2 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.02
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
15.5
X/1
19%
4.11
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
8%
5.76
2/1
6%
22.0
2/2
11%
8.61
2/X
6%
17.3
Value flag · 1/X at 15.5 — our 14% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.56/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.64
-13% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.9 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
322 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2025 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 2-0 HT 2-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
09.03.2025 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse BEL2
08.12.2024 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 1-4 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
3-2
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
3.40 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
26 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
389 Passes 327
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 squeezed past Lokeren-Temse 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RWDM 47 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 53% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 47%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 3.40 to 1.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RWDM 47's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RWDM 47 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for RWDM 47 and 1.00 for Lokeren-Temse.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs Lokeren-Temse?

RWDM 47 3-2 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 47%, draw 28%, Lokeren-Temse 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RWDM 47), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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