Waasland-Beveren 1-2 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 23% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.02
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.89
X/2
10%
6.84
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
12%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.03
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.37/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.97
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +142%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.0 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.12 xG 1.95
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 141
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
18 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2025 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-2 HT 2-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
09.03.2025 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 1-2 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
30.11.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
15.03.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
26.08.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1-2
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.24 xG 2.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
356 Passes 151
71% Pass Accuracy 56%
44 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden nicked a narrow win over Waasland-Beveren 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Patro Eisden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 66% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 34%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.24 to 2.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Patro Eisden's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.40 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden?

Waasland-Beveren 1-2 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 38%, draw 28%, Patro Eisden 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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