Patro Eisden 3-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.21
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
11%
6.55
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.72
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.67/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.53
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.6 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.81 xG 0.91
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
155 Passes 372
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2025 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 1-2 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
30.11.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
15.03.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
26.08.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
3-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.34 xG 1.76
24% Ball Possession 76%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
99 Passes 457
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden nicked a narrow win over Waasland-Beveren 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 24% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 76%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 2.34 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Patro Eisden and 0.75 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Waasland-Beveren?

Patro Eisden 3-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 42%, draw 28%, Waasland-Beveren 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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