Nacional Potosi 1-2 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.64/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.20
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
340 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.2 Crosses 12.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wilstermann
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
14.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
21.08.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
05.04.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
22.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
30.11.2020 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
1-2
AWAY Wilstermann
2.83 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 30
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
267 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann nicked a narrow win over Nacional Potosi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional Potosi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 48% of the ball to Wilstermann's 52%, shots finished 19-30, expected goals 2.83 to 1.55 — on chances, Nacional Potosi could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.00 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann?

Nacional Potosi 1-2 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 57%, draw 24%, Wilstermann 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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