Independiente Petrolero 1-1 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.62/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
-23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.8 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0W-1D-4L
AWAY The Strongest
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
1.08 xG 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
184 Passes 344
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
05.08.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 5-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
18.07.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.02.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-4 HT 0-3 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
13.09.2021 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1-1
AWAY The Strongest
0.85 xG 0.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
198 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and The Strongest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was The Strongest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 46% of the ball to The Strongest's 54%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.85 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 2.80 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

Independiente Petrolero 1-1 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 32%, draw 24%, The Strongest 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
27 Apr 2025
00:30 Oriente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Analysis →
22:00 Nacional Potosi vs Wilstermann Analysis →