Zrinjski Mostar 2-1 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.3pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.92/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.79
+46% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
24.09.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
03.05.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
10.12.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-2 HT 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
22.11.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-1 HT 3-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
01.04.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-1 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
2-1
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar squeezed past Siroki Brijeg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 56% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 44%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.50 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Zrinjski Mostar 2-1 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 62%, draw 22%, Siroki Brijeg 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
27 Apr 2025
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