GOSK Gabela 0-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
26%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
64%
Away Win
79%
-14.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 84%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.46/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-35% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% /
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GOSK Gabela
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-2 HT 1-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
24.09.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-4 HT 0-3 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.05.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-3 HT 1-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
03.11.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-4 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.08.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
POST-MATCH GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar nicked a narrow win over GOSK Gabela 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GOSK Gabela and 2.60 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar?

GOSK Gabela 0-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GOSK Gabela vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split GOSK Gabela 18%, draw 18%, Velez Mostar 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
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