Velez Mostar 2-2 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.29
No
47%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
78%
-14.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.0pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.77/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.51
-27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
2W-2D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-4 HT 0-3 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.05.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-3 HT 1-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
03.11.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-4 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.08.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar and GOSK Gabela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Velez Mostar at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Velez Mostar and 0.75 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs GOSK Gabela?

Velez Mostar 2-2 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 63%, draw 20%, GOSK Gabela 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Velez Mostar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
22 Feb 2025
18:00 Zeljeznicar vs FK Sarajevo Analysis →