Raja Beni Mellal 1-0 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
37%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.1pp
37%
Draw
25%
+12.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.48/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.17
+4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.12.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
03.12.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
20.05.2023 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-3 HT 0-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
1-0
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal nicked a narrow win over Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 37% / 22%) promised a tight game; Raja Beni Mellal found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Raja Beni Mellal had 56% of the ball to Chabab Ben Guerir's 44%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Raja Beni Mellal and 1.00 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Raja Beni Mellal 1-0 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Beni Mellal vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Raja Beni Mellal 41%, draw 37%, Chabab Ben Guerir 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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