Olympique Khouribga 3-2 USM Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympique Khouribga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.02
-11% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympique Khouribga
0W-1D-1L
AWAY USM Oujda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.12.2024 USM Oujda 2-1 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga FAS2
26.11.2023 Olympique Khouribga Olympique Khouribga 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
POST-MATCH Olympique Khouribga vs USM Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Khouribga nicked a narrow win over USM Oujda 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Olympique Khouribga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Oujda led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Olympique Khouribga and 1.00 for USM Oujda.

What was the final score of Olympique Khouribga vs USM Oujda?

Olympique Khouribga 3-2 USM Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympique Khouribga vs USM Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympique Khouribga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olympique Khouribga 39%, draw 32%, USM Oujda 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympique Khouribga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympique Khouribga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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