Al Karkh 1-1 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

Al Karkh
1-1 HT 1-1
Naft
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Karkh vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karkh v Naft — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.91/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.35
-21% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh and Naft couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (27% / 35% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Naft?

Al Karkh 1-1 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 27%, draw 35%, Naft 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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