Duhok 2-1 Karbala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

Duhok
2-1 HT 1-0
Karbala
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Duhok vs Karbala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.42
Draw
34%
3.8
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
66%
-20.9pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.6pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Duhok v Karbala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbala EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok squeezed past Karbala 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Duhok as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Karbala?

Duhok 2-1 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Karbala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Duhok 45%, draw 34%, Karbala 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Duhok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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