Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.59
Over
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
45%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +21%
1.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.41
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Turan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
07.04.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 0-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
04.09.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
16.04.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
18.09.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 1-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent nicked a narrow win over FK Turan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.60 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Turan?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 54%, draw 26%, FK Turan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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