FA Siauliai II 0-4 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.8pp
31%
Draw
19%
+11.4pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 70%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.49/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.51
+56% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +96%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY BFA
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-3 BFA BFA LIT1
16.06.2024 BFA BFA 7-0 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
05.11.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-2 BFA BFA LIT1
25.06.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
18.09.2022 BFA BFA 5-1 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
21.05.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-3 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
0-4
AWAY BFA
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA ran out comfortable winners over FA Siauliai II 4-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 41% of the ball to BFA's 59%, shots finished 10-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FA Siauliai II and 3.67 for BFA.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs BFA?

FA Siauliai II 0-4 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 22%, draw 31%, BFA 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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