UNAN Managua 1-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

UNAN Managua
1-1 HT 0-0
Matagalpa
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2024/2025

UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UNAN Managua v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.80/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.78
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-1 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
02.10.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-3 HT 0-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
06.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
16.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
20.02.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-0 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.11.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-3 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK

UNAN Managua 1-1 Matagalpa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
1-1
AWAY Matagalpa
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua and Matagalpa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UNAN Managua at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 67% of the ball to Matagalpa's 33%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.00 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?

UNAN Managua 1-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 41%, draw 24%, Matagalpa 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UNAN Managua), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →