Matagalpa 3-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.97/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.66
-34% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.10.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-3 HT 0-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
06.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
16.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
20.02.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-0 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.11.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 3-3 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
15.08.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa got the better of UNAN Managua 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Matagalpa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matagalpa and 2.17 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs UNAN Managua?

Matagalpa 3-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 48%, draw 27%, UNAN Managua 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Over 2.5
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