Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 64%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.47/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.11
+57% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
212 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Diriangen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
07.08.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
04.02.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
03.10.2022 Diriangen Diriangen 6-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
24.07.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
07.04.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen saw off Deportivo Ocotal 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.83 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Diriangen?

Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 21%, draw 24%, Diriangen 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
29 Jan 2024
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