Chrobry Glogow 1-1 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.86/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.98
-21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
13.04.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
20.01.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 2-1 HT 2-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica HAZ
30.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
30.04.2022 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
22.10.2021 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1-1
AWAY Miedz Legnica
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrobry Glogow and Miedz Legnica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Miedz Legnica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 49% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 0.67 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Miedz Legnica?

Chrobry Glogow 1-1 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 29%, draw 28%, Miedz Legnica 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
27 Apr 2025
13:00 Odra Opole vs Gornik Leczna Analysis →
15:30 Ruch Chorzow vs Stal Rzeszow Analysis →