Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-0 HT 0-0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jastrzebie Zdroj v Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.85
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
02.04.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
17.09.2021 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
22.05.2021 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-0 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
28.11.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
20.06.2020 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-3 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj edged past Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jastrzebie Zdroj found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 53% of the ball to Zaglebie Sosnowiec's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Sosnowiec led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.83 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 37%, draw 29%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ Under 2.5
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