Petrzalka 1-2 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.18
Over
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.04/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.94
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrzalka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samorin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Samorin Samorin 1-2 HT 0-2 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
10.03.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 0-0 HT 0-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
20.08.2023 Samorin Samorin 0-7 HT 0-3 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
16.04.2023 Samorin Samorin 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
18.09.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-2 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
01.05.2022 Samorin Samorin 2-0 HT 0-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrzalka
1-2
AWAY Samorin
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Petrzalka vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samorin nicked a narrow win over Petrzalka 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Petrzalka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Petrzalka had 52% of the ball to Samorin's 48%, shots finished 22-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrzalka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Petrzalka and 0.83 for Samorin.

What was the final score of Petrzalka vs Samorin?

Petrzalka 1-2 Samorin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrzalka vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrzalka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Petrzalka 47%, draw 26%, Samorin 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Petrzalka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Petrzalka) ✓ BTTS Yes
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