Bucaspor 1928 1-4 68 Aksaray Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.08
Away Pick
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
68 Aksaray Belediyespor win — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 66%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.79/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.00
-3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
0W-0D-2L
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
21.07.2020 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
1-4
AWAY 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor ran out comfortable winners over Bucaspor 1928 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 46% of the ball to 68 Aksaray Belediyespor's 54%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 2.00 for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Bucaspor 1928 1-4 68 Aksaray Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 25%, draw 25%, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor)
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