68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No Pick
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.2pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.80/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.85
+5% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +80%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
21.07.2020 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
2-1
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor edged past Bucaspor 1928 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 64% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 36%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 48%, draw 32%, Bucaspor 1928 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
15 Dec 2024
14:00 Arnavutköy Belediye vs Serik Belediyespor Analysis →
14:00 Nazilli Belediyespor vs Karaman Futbol Kulübü Analysis →
14:00 Van Spor FK vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Analysis →
14:00 Ankara Demirspor vs Somaspor Analysis →
14:00 Elazığspor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor Analysis →
14:00 Erbaaspor vs Diyarbekir Spor Analysis →