Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.72/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.74
-28% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Polessya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
14.04.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
01.10.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.67 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya?

Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 26%, draw 33%, Polessya 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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